Saba Tips: Freiburg are more likely to win at home
Bundesliga, Freiburg, Wolfsburg
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Bundesliga: Freiburg, Wolfsburg
Kickoff Time: 2024-04-07 21:30(HKT)
Source:REUTERS/Annegret Hilse
Due to the expansion of the UEFA Champions League next season, the Bundesliga’s European competition quota allocation this season is as follows: the top five teams will compete in the UEFA Champions League, the sixth-ranked team will compete in the Europa League, and the seventh-ranked team will compete in the European Conference League. Currently, Freiburg are ranked seventh in the league and are expected to compete for European qualification in the coming season. Judging from the season’s trend, Freiburg are good at earning points at home, with a 73.33% unbeaten rate in league matches. In 21 home games this season, it was only shut out once by their opponent, and their offensive performance has been consistent. From a tactical perspective, Freiburg focus on midfield control and maintains initiative in the game through solid defense and the organization and cooperation of midfielders. Additionally, they are adept at using quick counterattacks to create threats, particularly through the partnership between forward Michael Gregoritsch and midfielder Vincenzo Grifo, which often threatens opponents.
Wolfsburg experienced a poor run without a win in 11 games, prompting a coaching change at the end of March. Austrian coach Ralph Hasenhuttl replaced Niko Kovac, who was dismissed. Since the coaching change, Wolfsburg have earned six points in the last four games, showing improvement in results, but still faces pressure from relegation, currently only four points ahead of the relegation zone. Wolfsburg primarily employ two tactical setups. Against evenly matched or weaker opponents, they often use a 3-4-3 formation; when facing stronger opponents, they adopt a more flexible 4-2-3-1 formation. Considering Freiburg’s strong home record, it is expected that Wolfsburg will opt for the 4-2-3-1 formation, focusing on defensive counterattacks. As the game progresses, Wolfsburg are likely to lose initiative and find themselves in a defensive position.
In mid-March, 58-year-old Christian Streich announced that he would step down as Freiburg coach at the end of the season, concluding his 12-and-a-half-year coaching tenure at the club. Streich is a good player of Freiburg’s youth training system. In the 42 years since joining Freiburg in 1982, he has only spent four years outside the club. From player to youth team coach, from first-team assistant coach to head coach, Streich has epitomized loyalty to the club. This is Freiburg’s penultimate home game of the season. Last week marked the club’s 120th anniversary, giving them added motivation. Against the struggling Wolfsburg, Freiburg will seize the opportunity to secure all three points and bid farewell to their esteemed coach with a resounding victory.
Freiburg’s Last 5 Games: DWLWW
24-04-22 Freiburg 1-1 Mainz
24-04-14 Darmstadt 0-1 Freiburg
24-04-06 Freiburg 1-4 RB Leipzig
24-03-30 Borussia Monchengladbach 0-3 Freiburg
24-03-21 Freiburg 4-1 St. Gallen
Wolfsburg’s Last 5 Games: WLLWL
24-04-20 Wolfsburg 1-0 Bochum
24-04-13 RB Leipzig 3-0 Wolfsburg
24-04-07 Wolfsburg 1-3 Borussia Monchengladbach
24-03-30 Werder Bremen 0-2 Wolfsburg
24-03-16 Wolfsburg 1-3 Augsburg
Head To Head Record:
23-12-09 Wolfsburg 0-1 Freiburg
23-07-22 Wolfsburg 3-2 Freiburg
23-05-20 Freiburg 2-0 Wolfsburg
23-01-21 Wolfsburg 6-0 Freiburg
22-03-12 Freiburg 3-2 Wolfsburg
Prediction: Freiburg to win